Scared yet?
How can you help but not be!
Every day another set of numbers.
And every day those numbers include more deaths and more coronavirus cases.
It’s depressing. It’s discouraging.
What will it take to get those two numbers under control?
Avoid everyone?
Stay inside?
But for how long?
The upturning numbers won’t stop upturning.
Will it be days? Weeks? Or even months?
Who knows?
Let me offer some good news. Let me offer some hope. Some encouragement.
Those numbers we’ve been seeing may mean something positive.
I will now post some data. Please, don’t quit reading. There’s a positive to be found. Here’s the data:
March 8 22 deaths 541 cases 4.06%
March 9 26 deaths 704 cases 3.69%
March 10 30 deaths 994 cases 3.01%
March 11 38 deaths 1295 cases 2.95%
March 12 42 deaths 1695 cases 2.52%
March 13 49 deaths 2247 cases 2.27%
March 14 57 deaths 2954 cases 1.93%
March 15 68 deaths 3680 cases 1.84%
If you look at the information, you’ll see that the deaths and the cases are indeed rising. As we’ve been told and told!
BUT then there’s the third number. That number is the percentage of fatalities on each day.
Are you seeing that this number is going DOWN?
More cases BUT less fatalities.
What’s going on there?
Could it be that on the early dates those being tested were mostly there because of symptoms?
Could it also be that, as the days passed, more people were tested because of their association despite having no symptoms?
Marcus Smart of the Celtics played a game against the Utah Jazz recently. Several days later, a Jazz player had symptoms and tested positive.
Then because of association, Marcus and the other Celtics were tested. They were tested without symptoms. Marcus tested positive. He was then quarantined and as far as I’ve heard has not exhibited any symptoms.
I’m guessing that the number of those likely to be tested because of association will increase. Some like, Marcus Smart, will not only be tested but will turn up positive without symptoms.
They will be on the case list but not on the fatality list.
What do the numbers suggest? The percentage of deaths from the coronavirus is declining. We need not panic over the cases/death total as long as the death percentage continues to decline.
McClelland Miscellanea 