Category Archives: coronavirus

Are you worried about the rising coronavirus cases and deaths?

Scared yet?

How can you help but not be!

Every day another set of numbers.

And every day those numbers include more deaths and more coronavirus cases.

It’s depressing. It’s discouraging.

What will it take to get those two numbers under control?

Avoid everyone?

Stay inside?

But for how long?

The upturning numbers won’t stop upturning.

Will it be days? Weeks? Or even months?

Who knows?

Let me offer some good news. Let me offer some hope. Some encouragement.

Those numbers we’ve been seeing may mean something positive.

I will now post some data. Please, don’t quit reading. There’s a positive to be found. Here’s the data:

March 8       22 deaths                541 cases                4.06%

March 9       26 deaths                704 cases                3.69%

March 10    30 deaths                 994 cases                3.01%

March 11     38 deaths                1295 cases                2.95%

March 12    42 deaths               1695 cases                2.52%

March 13    49 deaths               2247 cases                2.27%

March 14    57 deaths               2954 cases                1.93%

March 15    68 deaths               3680 cases                1.84%

If you look at the information, you’ll see that the deaths and the cases are indeed rising. As we’ve been told and told!

BUT then there’s the third number. That number is the percentage of fatalities on each day.

Are you seeing that this number is going DOWN?

More cases BUT less fatalities.

What’s going on there?

Could it be that on the early dates those being tested were mostly there because of symptoms?

Could it also be that, as the days passed, more people were tested because of their association despite having no symptoms?

Marcus Smart of the Celtics played a game against the Utah Jazz recently. Several days later, a Jazz player had symptoms and tested positive.

Then because of association, Marcus and the other Celtics were tested. They were tested without symptoms. Marcus tested positive. He was then quarantined and as far as I’ve heard has not exhibited any symptoms.

I’m guessing that the number of those likely to be tested because of association will increase. Some like, Marcus Smart, will not only be tested but will turn up positive without symptoms.

They will be on the case list but not on the fatality list.

What do the numbers suggest? The percentage of deaths from the coronavirus is declining. We need not panic over the cases/death total as long as the death percentage continues to decline.

 

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Why have there been so many coronavirus cases in Italy?

Why Italy?

Italy is second to China in reported coronavirus cases.

Why is that so?

I have seen reports that state that Italy has the oldest population in Europe. Therefore, it is implied, Italy’s population would be more susceptible  (lesser immune systems) to COVID-19 and get the virus easier.

That thinking seems to go like this: The virus was around, took note of Italy’s aging population, and went to work there. It was a random country choice. Countries with younger populations would be less vulnerable to an outbreak of the virus.

Makes sense but then the facts get in the way.

I saw information today that reveals a significant connection between Italy to China.

The northern part of Italy has been the hardest hit by the coronavirus. How is that area connected to China?

The fashion/garment industry is huge in that region. Think Prada & Gucci. China has long presented inexpensive manufacturing options to those businesses.

Some of the work for that industry has been done by Italian companies that have used inexpensive labor found mainly in Wuhan, China.

Chinese workers have also moved from China to northern Italy to work in the fashion/garment industry. There are an estimated 100,000 Chinese citizens working in Italian factories. More than 300,000 Chinese now live in Italy.

Until recently, end of January, there were direct flights from Italy to Wuhan.

I may not have this exactly right, but this looks to me like plenty of interaction between the area in China where the virus started and the place in Europe where it is the worst.

Portraying COVID-19 as a virus that randomly infects large areas out of nowhere may not be true. Cause and effect still are in play.

Certainly, we need to be careful and certainly we need to be wise.

Should northern Italy be under virtual house arrest? No question.

Should we? No longer as certain.

 

 

 

 

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